Will there be more than 100 deaths in a single protest or set of protests in China before 2025?
Basic
8
Ṁ309Jan 30
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A set of protests must be connected in the same topic. eg a nationwide protest with marches in many cities, not more than two weeks apart.
Intended to spot massive unrest not some strange technicality. (eg a set of protests a year long where a person dies every 3 days)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an AI rights protest in the US with more than 1000 protesters before 2025?
16% chance
Will there be an AI rights protest in the US with more than 1000 protesters before 2026?
30% chance
Will the 2024 college protests result in any fatalities?
22% chance
Will there be a major spike in protests in the US in 2025 (comparable to the 2020 George Floyd protests)?
55% chance
Will there be an anti-Trump protest march with at least 1m reported total participants in the US before 1st June 2025?
25% chance
Will there be more than 50 deaths in political, or military conflicts in Belarus, before 2025?
18% chance
Will someone die as the direct consequence of a Letzte Generation protest by 2025?
12% chance
Will the tiananmen square deaths still be censored in China by 2045?
67% chance
Will at least 2 people die in protests in response to Trump's arrest before 2025?
12% chance
[ACX 2024] Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?
4% chance