
Will the tiananmen square deaths still be censored in China by 2045?
7
100Ṁ832045
48%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Can you define ‘Tiananmen Square deaths’ and ‘censored’?
For the deaths, it’s generally accepted that weren’t any in the square itself, but rather they occurred around the square.
For ‘censored’, will any view have to be able to be expressed in any forum? Does algorithmic suppression count? What if it’s allowed in the context of history, but not if it’s a political invective?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will China become more authoritarian in 2025?
76% chance
Will China still be controlled by the CCP in 2050?
44% chance
Will China have true democracy in 2040?
14% chance
Will China be a democracy in 2050?
26% chance
Will China have true democracy in 2050?
33% chance
Will China have true democracy in 2100?
62% chance
Will Xi Jinping be murdered, deposed, or forced to abdicate like many other Chinese leaders by the end of 2030?
55% chance
Wikipedia unblocked in China by 2031 given continued CCP rule
14% chance
Will a major non-documentary film that is critical of China be released in the US before 2030?
66% chance
Will the world be more democratic in 2045?
27% chance