Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support cash transfers before 2027?
resolved Dec 18

This question resolves Yes if GiveWell recommends a grant to support cash transfers.

This question will resolve No otherwise.

This question resolves according to GiveWell's spreadsheet here https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0 or equivalent or a public statement.

Nathan reserves the right to edit this question within the spirit of the question to make the information more useful to GiveWell in the first 3 months, though will pay anyone who feels they lost out. After that, he will only clarify resolution cases.

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bought Ṁ1 of YES

They've done it before; they'll do it again!

predicted YES

That spreadsheet shows that they're actively supporting at least one (conditional) cash transfer program already.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Does this include conditional cash transfers (e.g. New Incentives)?

@Lorenzo Should it? What are they conditional on? Which row of that spreadsheet would they go under?

predicted YES

@NathanpmYoung New Incentives (newincentives.org) runs a conditional cash transfer (CCT) program ... seeks to increase uptake of routine immunizations through cash transfers ... makes cash transfers conditional on infants receiving vaccines. [They also do other stuff, but CCT seems a big part of what they do.]

I would guess row 3 in the sheet? "Conditional cash transfers to increase infant vaccination as run by New Incentives"