Who runs Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe) on twitter?
Aug 10, 2023
M$8,039 bet
DanielFilan
Daniel Filan answered
Frances Lorenz
68%
ManifoldMarkets
Sentient Lightbulb
13%
JonnySpicer
Jonny Spicer answered
Julian Hazell
11%
IvanNavarro
Ivan Navarro answered
Rob Wiblin
1.8%
NathanpmYoung
Nathan Young answered
We never find the second person
1.2%
NathanYoung
Nathan Young answered
Kirsten (@Kirsten3531)
0.8%
NathanpmYoung
Nathan Young answered
Chris Lloyd
0.7%
JeroenWillems
Julian Hazell & Frances Lorenz
0.7%
JeroenWillems
Alex Lawsen
0.3%
PaulCrowley
Paul Crowley answered
Linchuan Zhang
0.3%
Tetraspace
Tetraspace answered
Paul Crowley
0.2%
JeroenWillems
Rafael Ruiz
0.2%
AndrewG
Andrew G answered
Dustin Moskovitz
0.2%
JeroenWillems
Tom Lieberum
0.1%
JeroenWillems
Chana Messinger
0.1%
finnhambly
Finn Hambly answered
Henry Sleight
0.1%
finnhambly
Finn Hambly answered
Trevor Levin
0.1%
finnhambly
Finn Hambly answered
Ollie Base
0.1%
NathanYoung
Nathan Young answered
Fin Moorhouse
0.1%
NathanpmYoung
Nathan Young answered
@QualyThe
0.1%
JeroenWillems
Max Alexander
0.1%
DanielFilan
Daniel Filan answered
stephen clare
0.1%
NathanpmYoung
Nathan Young answered
Stefan Schubert
0.1%
JeroenWillems
Michael Plant
0.1%
JeroenWillems
@metakuna
0.1%
JeroenWillems
Jessica Wen
0.1%
NathanpmYoung
Nathan Young answered
Justin Trudeau
0.0%
KadenCulp
Kaden Culp answered
Nathan Young
0.0%
JeroenWillems
Hayden Wilkinson
0.0%
JeroenWillems
Nathan Barnard
0.0%
NathanYoung
Nathan Young answered
Habiba Islam
0.0%
JeroenWillems
Elias @reconfigurthing
0.0%
Sinclair
Sinclair Chen answered
Dony
0.0%
JeroenWillems
GPT-3
0.0%
JeroenWillems
William MacAskill
0.0%
TomShlomi
Tom Shlomi answered
TomShlomi
Tom Shlomi answered
TomShlomi
Tom Shlomi answered
Daniel Eth
0.0%
TomShlomi
Tom Shlomi answered
@_mvdm
0.0%
TomShlomi
Tom Shlomi answered
TomShlomi
Tom Shlomi answered
Miranda Zhang
0.0%
TomShlomi
Tom Shlomi answered
Evie Cottrell
0.0%
TomShlomi
Tom Shlomi answered
Aaron Bergman
0.0%
DanielFilan
Daniel Filan answered
Ben Garfinkel
0.0%
Add your answer
DanielFilan
Frances Lorenz
TomShlomi
0
trevor
Trevor is betting
Frances Lorenz
0
trevor
Trevor is betting
Frances Lorenz
0
finnhambly
0
trevor
Trevor is betting
Frances Lorenz
0
NathanpmYoung
Nathan Young is betting
We never f...ond person
0
ManifoldMarkets
Sentient Lightbulb
JonnySpicer
Julian Hazell
trevor
Trevor is betting
Frances Lorenz
0
trevor
Trevor is betting
Frances Lorenz
0
GavrielK
Gavriel K is betting
Frances Lorenz
0
trevor
Trevor is betting
Frances Lorenz
0
JeroenWillems
0
JeroenWillems
0
TobiasHaeberli
Tobias Häberli is betting
Julian Haz...ces Lorenz
0
finnhambly
Finn Hambly is betting
Frances Lorenz
0
TobiasHaeberli
Tobias Häberli is betting
Julian Haz...ces Lorenz
0
IvanNavarro
Rob Wiblin
NathanpmYoung
We never find the second person
NathanpmYoung
0
NathanYoung
Kirsten (@Kirsten3531)
NathanpmYoung
Chris Lloyd
JeroenWillems
Julian Hazell & Frances Lorenz
NathanpmYoung
Nathan Young is betting
Fin Moorhouse
@JeroenWillems if you comment i’ll pay you because I changed the rules
0
JeroenWillems
Jeroen Willems is betting
Julian Haz...ces Lorenz
0
trevor
Trevor is betting
Frances Lorenz
0
JeroenWillems
Jeroen Willems is betting
Frances Lorenz
0
Tetraspace
@NathanpmYoung Admittedly a longshot but the upside is huge
0
JeroenWillems
Alex Lawsen
PaulCrowley
Linchuan Zhang
Tetraspace
Paul Crowley
PaulCrowley
Paul Crowley is betting
Linchuan Zhang
0
PaulCrowley
Paul Crowley is betting
Linchuan Zhang
0
JeroenWillems
Rafael Ruiz
AndrewG
Dustin Moskovitz
JeroenWillems
Tom Lieberum
JeroenWillems
Chana Messinger
finnhambly
Henry Sleight
finnhambly
Trevor Levin
finnhambly
Ollie Base
NathanYoung
Fin Moorhouse
Sinclair
Sinclair Chen is betting
Dony
0
JeroenWillems
Max Alexander
DanielFilan
stephen clare
NathanpmYoung
Stefan Schubert
JeroenWillems
Michael Plant
JeroenWillems
Jessica Wen
NathanpmYoung
Justin Trudeau
KadenCulp
Nathan Young
JeroenWillems
Hayden Wilkinson
JeroenWillems
Nathan Barnard
NathanYoung
Habiba Islam
Sinclair
Dony
JeroenWillems
GPT-3
JeroenWillems
William MacAskill
TomShlomi
Daniel Eth
TomShlomi
@_mvdm
TomShlomi
Miranda Zhang
TomShlomi
Evie Cottrell
TomShlomi
Aaron Bergman
DanielFilan
Ben Garfinkel

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General Comments
NathanpmYoung
jeroen got caught out so i’ll pay him back
0
Shiney
If we push the price up to 95% for one person are you then 95% confident?
0
NathanpmYoung
I’m about to alter this market to make the resolution criteria better. I think that’s fine because i know most of those with money in the market. tell me if you think that’s unfair and i’ll resolve ambiguously and reset
0
NathanpmYoung
we’ll just tell me here and i’ll upvote your comment to pay you
0

Play-money betting

Mana (M$) is the play-money used by our platform to keep track of your bets. It's completely free for you and your friends to get started!