When Manifold have implemented loans will James say they need an alternate question approval process which allows users to check/improve each others' long term questions?
34%
chance
Jan 1, 2023
M$640 bet
NathanpmYoung
Nathan Young is betting YES at 34%
If they implement this after loans I intend to resolve yes.
0
jack
Jack is betting NO at 34%
@NathanYoung Within what timeframe would count as yes? And does it have to be specific to markets with loans?
0
JoyVoid
I definitely think there is a place for community-resolving markets, don't know how that interacts with loans
0
jack
Jack is betting NO at 34%
@JoyVoid Yeah exactly. I don't see any reason to require a higher bar for markets with loans - in my mind, the loans v2 feature is simply a way to make leaving money locked up in a market for a long time less capital-inefficient.
0
JoyVoid
@jack hmm do you think loans are necessary if manifold gets rid of fees?
0
jack
Jack is betting NO at 34%
@JoyVoid Absolutely yes, they are completely independent issues. The issue loans solve is the opportunity cost of putting your money in a market for a long time. If you put M$100 in a market with the expectation of a M$10 profit, and it takes 1 year for that to pay out, your opportunity cost is locking up that M$100 for a year, which could also have gone into 52 bets of a week each. Loans reduce the opportunity cost by reducing the amount of capital you have to lock up over time.
0
MartinRandall
Martin Randall bought M$50 of NO
We can edit questions now. Can also N/A then and try again.
0
MartinRandall
Martin Randall is betting NO at 34%
Also can ask for advice in a group or on Discord.
0
NathanpmYoung
Nathan Young is betting YES at 34%
@MartinRandall But you can't do that as part of the question generation process. There isn't a way you can *draft*
0
MartinRandall
Martin Randall is betting NO at 34%
@NathanYoung Sure, I'd welcome the ability to make a draft market. Perhaps it would allow only the market creator to bet, so I could set initial probability and free responses. I wouldn't call that a "question approval process" myself.
0
NathanpmYoung
Nathan Young is betting YES at 34%
@MartinRandall neither would i . i mean others can suggest edits on title or resolution criteria
0
SneakySly
SneakySly bought M$50 of NO
Seems very much unnecessary.
0
jack
Jack bought M$30 of NO
There's value in collaborating to improve questions, but I don't really see much relation to loans. Was there a specific motivation for the question?
0
NathanpmYoung
Nathan Young is betting YES at 31%
@jack we had a conversation about it
0
jack
Jack is betting NO at 34%
@NathanYoung Can you explain why you think this is a good idea?
0

Play-money betting

Mana (M$) is the play-money used by our platform to keep track of your bets. It's completely free for you and your friends to get started!