Well there be a debt ceiling showdown before 2025?
Plus
13
Ṁ1342Dec 31
87%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@gramophone How about? (1) a government shutdown linked to debt ceiling negotiations, or (2) the U.S. Treasury Department implements extraordinary measures to avoid default specifically due to the debt ceiling not being raised or suspended.
@NathanpmYoung I worry this isn't broad enough. I think I'd consider getting very close to a shutdown probably to resolve yes.
@NathanpmYoung
Trump reiterates call for changes to 'ridiculous' debt ceiling
with less than a day before a shutdown does seem like "a showdown" even if they cobble together a last minute deal.
Enough to resolve yes given your comment above?
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2025?
48% chance
Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2024?
62% chance
Will the US Government shutdown before 2025?
20% chance
Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2024?
8% chance
[ACX 2024] Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025?
6% chance
Will there be a Government Shutdown in 2024?
13% chance
Will there be a government shutdown before March 2025?
42% chance
In which month and year will the debt ceiling either be suspended again ,increased,or abolished?
Will there be a US government shutdown in 2025?
37% chance
Will the US debt ceiling continue suspended until after January 2025?
59% chance