The Ozler RCT will report an effect size greater than d = 0.4 for StrongMinds
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Resolve according to this: https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/what-will-the-effect-size-of-the-oz
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Should resolve negatively:
I was not specific on which effect size would count, but all relevant effect sizes reported by this study are much lower than d = 0.4 - around d = 0.1. I roughly calculate the figures below.
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