How many Supreme Court Justices will have been appointed by a Democratic president by 2025, if Democrats maintain control the Senate?
14
1kṀ14k
resolved Jan 22
100%99.0%
3 SC Justices appointed by Democratic Presidents, Democrats control Senate after 2022 Midterms
0.0%Other
0.0%
0 - 2 SC Justices appointed by Democratic Presidents, Democrats control Senate after 2022 Midterms
1.0%
4 SC Justices appointed by Democratic Presidents, Democrats control Senate after 2022 Midterms
0.0%
5 - 9 SC Justices appointed by Democratic Presidents, Democrats control Senate after 2022 Midterms
0.0%
Court size changed or other, Democrats control Senate after 2022 Midterms
0.0%
0 - 2 SC Justices appointed by Democratic Presidents, Democrats do not control Senate after 2022 Midterms
0.0%
3 SC Justices appointed by Democratic Presidents, Democrats do not control Senate after 2022 Midterms
0.0%
4 SC Justices appointed by Democratic Presidents, Democrats do not control Senate after 2022 Midterms
0.0%
5 - 9 SC Justices appointed by Democratic Presidents, Democrats do not control Senate after 2022 Midterms
0.0%
Court size changed or other, Democrats do not control Senate after 2022 Midterms

Resolves only to categories that Nathan Young creates.

This resolves based on two conditions: Firstly, on Jan 20th, the number of stitting Supreme Court justices who were appointed by a Democratic President. Secondly, whether Democrats maintain control of the Senate in the 2022 midterms. Both of these conditions resolve according to the NYT (https://www.nytimes.com/).

This resolves to the above criteria even if seat(s) are vacant on a 9-person, functioning Supreme Court. If the court size is changed, the court abolished or it has not sat in more than a year, this question resolves as one of the "Court size changed or other" resolutions, based on which party had control in the 2022 midterms.

The Democrats are considered to have control of the Senate if, after the 2022 midterms, there are 51 or more Senators who caucus with the Democrats (or 50 and a Democratic Vice President). Any other outcome will be considered that they do not have control. Usually, other outcomes would result in Republican control, but a Democratic senator could stop caucusing with the Democrats before the midterm results. This would not lead to Republican control but would not constitute Democratic control either.

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