At least 1 G7 Country will have been under a fascist authoritarian regime for at least 6 months by 2035 | Manifold

At least 1 G7 Country will have been under a fascist authoritarian regime for at least 6 months by 2035

Basic

7

Ṁ214

2034

9%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The G7 countries are Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States and are currently all democracies.

A fascist authoritarian regime is (suggestions, open to change):

Non-democratic
Non-communist
A dictator, oligarchs or military leaders
Pushes for national power and identity

The market is aimed at predicting whether at least one G7 country will have been under a fascist authoritarian regime for a minimum of six months by the year 2035. The market will close on December 31, 2034, allowing participants to make predictions up until this date. The resolution of the market will occur after December 31, 2035, and will be based on credible sources or confirmations that indicate a G7 country has been under a fascist autocracy for at least six months within the defined timeframe. In the absence of such confirmation, the market will resolve to "no". Changes to the political landscape that occur after the conclusion of 2035 will not be considered in the resolution of this market.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?

Which country will backslide into authoritarianism the most in the 2020s?

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