AI will run a $1bn+ outperforming market hedge fund by 2030 where I am 80% sure that AI is doing ~all functions
20
96
890
2030
23%
chance

The AI is doing everything except those things a human is legally required to do.

Resolves no otherwise.

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
predicts NO

@JoeReeve suggested "will someone give an AI hedge fund $1bn"

bought Ṁ25 of YES

What time horizon for the backwards-lookingness of 'outperforming'? Since inception?

It is not difficult to outperform market in one year or two. Till 2030 might not be a long enough track record to ask what you want.