Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
➕
Plus
58
Ṁ2465
2029
28%
chance

Must be confirmed in a reputable news source what the killer's motives were.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Is this about AI capabilities in general, or can it also be for a specific organization's AI capabilities?

Suppose the US military assassinates a rival country's Al researcher while continuing its own AI research. How would the market resolve in that case? So the killing in this case is not motivated by slowing AI capabilities in general but about slowing that one country's Al capabilities

@samb Good question. I’d probably resolve YES in that case. But since governments don’t usually claim credit for assassinations, I’d want there to at least be a consensus in the news regarding the motives for the killing. (Eg. AI researcher discovers breakthrough in algorithmic efficiency. A week later, they get blown up by a military-grade bomb.)

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules