Many international students in the United States rely on Optional Practical Training (OPT) to legally work in the United States.
OPT allows international students on F-1 visas to work in their field of study for up to 12 months, with students who majored in STEM fields being able to extend this period by 24 additional months.
If, before July 2025, OPT is drastically curtailed (as judged by me) and not replaced with an adequate alternative, in such a way that international students can no longer easily get or maintain authorization to have jobs related to their major in the United States, or can do so for a substantially shorter period of time, this question will resolve YES. Otherwise, it will resolve NO.
Related market: https://manifold.markets/Natalia/will-scotus-grant-the-writ-of-certi
1,000Comparing the current policy on F-1 revocations to the Biden administration, it's hard to even find raw numbers from the past 5 years. We can see refusals, but those are always high. I think barring past data coming out that shows a "severe" change, or a blanket policy change such as the previously discussed CPT/OPT suspension possibility, this is heading towards No with only a month and a half remaining.
@Nikola Removing OPT would drastically affect international students even if CPT is still around, since you can't use CPT after graduation. So this would still resolve YES if OPT is phased out but CPT isn't.