Next Japanese Prime Minister
22
1kṀ16k2026
3%
Shinjirō Koizumi
80%
Sanae Takaichi
1.4%
Yoshimasa Hayashi
1%
No new PM
4%
Election called
10%
Other
Devived from Polymarket https://polymarket.com/event/next-japanese-prime-minister?tid=1759046124101
(currently Polymarket is illegal in Japan.)
Rules
This market will resolve according to the next appointed Prime Minister of Japan, succeeding Shigeru Ishiba.
Any PM formally appointed by the Japanese Emperor will qualify.
If no new PM is appointed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No new PM”.
If early general elections are called before the new PM has officially been appointed, this market will resolve to “Election called”.
The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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