Will Elon Musk lose his security clearance by the end of 2025?
40
1kṀ8400Jan 1
4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of Tesla before the end of 2026?
16% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2026?
12% chance
Will Elon Musk be deported by the end of Trump's second term?
6% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2027?
30% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of Tesla before the end of 2027?
27% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of Tesla before the end of 2028?
33% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2028?
45% chance
Elon Musk deported by end of the January 2029?
2% chance
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?
31% chance
Will Elon Musk be a citizen of the United States at the end of Trump's current term in office?
95% chance
Sort by:
@evergreenemily he works with NASA. I 100% expect him to have some minor level of security clearance at least
@evergreenemily Yes, and he turned off his satellites that Ukrainians were relying on in the middle of a counterattack in order to sabotage it.
@NADZOR Oh, I knew about that bit. I guess he must have had security clearance to know about that, huh...
Really, really don't like that billionaires can cut off our means of communication on a whim like that. We should really fix that.
@Stralor If you’re a detriment to nat sec or, say, actively aiding an enemy state in conflict, it’s never too late to lose said clearance.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of Tesla before the end of 2026?
16% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2026?
12% chance
Will Elon Musk be deported by the end of Trump's second term?
6% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2027?
30% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of Tesla before the end of 2027?
27% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of Tesla before the end of 2028?
33% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2028?
45% chance
Elon Musk deported by end of the January 2029?
2% chance
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?
31% chance
Will Elon Musk be a citizen of the United States at the end of Trump's current term in office?
95% chance
