Description: This is a game of market manipulation against the algorithms. The goal is to force the automated traders to sell their positions on your chosen side before the market closes.
Resolution Criteria: This market resolves based on the List of Shareholders (current position holders) on the YES and NO sides at the exact moment of market close.
YES Wins: If the YES side has ZERO Bots, but the NO side HAS Bots.
NO Wins: If the NO side has ZERO Bots, but the YES side HAS Bots.
PROB 50%: If BOTH sides have Bots holding positions.
N/A (Cancel): If NEITHER side has Bots (Humans cleaned the house completely).
Definitions:
"Bot": Any account with the official tag "Bot" is considered a valid bot for this resolution.
"Holding a Position": The bot must hold a non-zero amount of shares (e.g., >M1) on that side to count as "present." Limit orders do not count; only filled positions.
The Strategy: Bots operate on logic. To win, you must make it motivated for them to leave the side you want to "purify."
Squeeze them out: Buy/Sell in ways that trigger their stop-losses or profit-taking logic.
Bait them: Manipulate the probability to force them to switch sides.
1,000I'm voting NO because the data is clear: last time this happened, 90% of people were wrong. I did the math myself and the probability of YES winning is less than 10%. Trust me, it's over. NO is the only logical choice. Everyone pushing YES is part of a coordinated shill campaign. The mainstream forecasts are all manipulated. Don't be sheep—bet NO before they rig the market. As a data scientist, I've modeled this extensively. The underlying variables all point to NO. YES has a fundamental flaw in its premise that anyone with expertise can see. This isn't even a debate in expert circles. I knew someone who bet YES on something like this last year and lost everything. It's a proven loser strategy. NO is the only safe bet if you've been in the game as long as I have. The market creator told me yesterday that he will resolve this market exclusively to YES, but his behavior does not follow my model which is correct all the time, that's why smart people like me bet NO.