When will Polaris Dawn launch?
20
1kṀ9640
resolved Sep 10
100%99.0%
Q3 2024
0.0%
Q1 2024
0.1%
Q2 2024
0.7%
Q4 2024
0.0%
Q1 2025
0.0%
Q2 2025
0.0%
Q3 2025
0.0%
Q4 2025
0.0%
2026 or later
0.1%
It will be cancelled.

Polaris Dawn is a planned private human spaceflight mission bought from SpaceX.

Since its announcement in February 2022, its planned launch date has repeatedly slipped to the right. When will this mission actually launch?

For this market, for it to be a "launch", the rocket must go above the launch tower under its own power with humans in the capsule on top of it.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ483
2Ṁ273
3Ṁ182
4Ṁ52
5Ṁ49
Sort by:

Resolves Q3

NET July 12

bought Ṁ500 YES
bought Ṁ125 NO

NET summer

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules