Will Joe Biden resign as an "October Surprise"?
Basic
3
Ṁ602Nov 1
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Joe Biden resign in order to help Kamala's campaign? (Or be forced to resign due to health and end up serving as an "October Surprise" inadvertently?)
Inspired by discussion on another market, but some mainstream media commentators have also suggested this.
Resolves YES if Biden resigns in October 2024, resolves NO otherwise. I expect this to be extremely clear-cut; I may bet in this market.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Joe Biden resign in his first term?
7% chance
What is going to be the October surprise?
Will Joe Biden resign the US Presidency before the election November 5, 2024?
4% chance
If Biden drops out, will he also resign during his first term?
Will there be an unsurprising October surprise?
35% chance
Will there be an “October Surprise” in the 2024 Presidential Election?
81% chance
If Joe Biden is still US president after the November 5 election will he resign before the inauguration January 2025?
9% chance
What will be the "October Surprise" of the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Will Joe Biden resign during his first term?
7% chance
Will Joe Biden resign the presidency at any point during this term or potential future term?
10% chance