2023 Polish election and referendum: referendum to have >=20 p.p. less voter turnout?
Basic
9
Ṁ177resolved Oct 17
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Along with the parliamentary election, there will be a referendum hosted which will ask four questions:
The opposition is encouraging people not to take part in the referendum, to decline the ballot for the referendum, vote only in the election.
Is the voter turnout for the referendum going to be at least 20 percentage points less than for the parliamentary election?
For example: resolves YES if the voter turnout for the referendum is 35,32% and 55,32% for the election, resolves NO in case for referendum 35,33% and 55,32% for election.
Related:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
predicted NO
Referendum: 40.91% https://referendum.gov.pl/referendum2023/en/frekwencja/pl
Sejm election: 74,38% https://wybory.gov.pl/sejmsenat2023/en/frekwencja/Koniec/pl?elections=sejm
Related questions
Related questions
Poland: Will PiS popularity drop below 25% in 2024?
20% chance
[POLAND] Will the winner of presidential elections in 2025 get less than 51% of votes in the runoff?
34% chance
Poland: Will PiS popularity drop below 25% in 2025?
48% chance
Who will win the 2025 Polish presidential election?
Will Poland implement a new electoral system for the Sejm before 2030?
25% chance
Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?
66% chance
Who will win the next parliamentary election in Poland?