AI is #1 competitive coder in CodeForces by EOY2025?
AI is #1 competitive coder in CodeForces by EOY2025?
24
100Ṁ1373Dec 31
70%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
E.g. “Our internal benchmark is around 50th best [competitive] programmer in the world. And, we’ll hit #1 by the end of the year [2025].” – Sam Altman, 2025
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Top score on codeforces by an AI model at the end of 2025
Will xAI rank above OpenAI at EOY?
29% chance
Which AI code editor will be the most popular EOY2026?
Will there be entry-level AI coders by 2026?
67% chance
Will an AI win Advent of Code? (2025)
55% chance
Which company has best Computer Agent AI model end of 2025? (Computer Agent Arena Leaderboard)
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2025?
Will an AI model achieve superhuman ELO on Codeforces by the 31 December 2025?
74% chance
Will OpenAI still be considered one of the top players in AI by end of 2025
98% chance
Will open-source AI win (through 2025)?
26% chance