Will Polaris Dawn launch before August 2023?
Spacexโ€ขSpace
16
129
แน€310
resolved Aug 1
Resolved
NO
Get แน€200 play money

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New market:

sold แน€1 of YES
bought แน€80 of NO

NET September 2023 according to https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/6897
I'm not sure where nextspaceflight.com got this info from, though

predicted YES

@MayMeta Hmm good spot. Haven't seen any public announcements, but nextspaceflight sometimes has insider info I believe.

bought แน€50 of NO

@Mqrius Jared Isaacman's estimate was "late summer" a moth ago
https://twitter.com/rookisaacman/status/1650289972845395968

predicted NO