Will Polaris Dawn launch before August 2023?
Mqrius avatar
Mqrius
11
closes Jun 30
11%
chance
Spacex
Space
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MayMeta avatar
MayMetabought Ṁ80 of NO

NET September 2023 according to https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/6897
I'm not sure where nextspaceflight.com got this info from, though

Mqrius avatar
Mqriusis predicting YES at 18%

@MayMeta Hmm good spot. Haven't seen any public announcements, but nextspaceflight sometimes has insider info I believe.

MayMeta avatar
MayMetabought Ṁ50 of NO

@Mqrius Jared Isaacman's estimate was "late summer" a moth ago
https://twitter.com/rookisaacman/status/1650289972845395968

Mqrius avatar
Mqriusis predicting NO at 52%

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