Will any model score 70+% on ARC AGI 2 within 3 months of its release?
38
1kṀ16k
resolved Jul 14
Resolved
NO

Non-compute bounded models allowed.

As of making this, ARC-AGI-2 has not been released yet, but https://arcprize.org/blog/arc-prize-2025 says “late Q1 2025” so we’ll set an end date for July, which is after Q2 ends.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ387
2Ṁ358
3Ṁ201
4Ṁ177
5Ṁ91
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy