Will the runner-up in the 2024 US Presidential Election accept their defeat by Dec 31, 2024?
Plus
62
Ṁ20kresolved Nov 6
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
If there is an ongoing court case to determine the winner at any time in 2025, it's a no.
Other nos include armed conflict led by the non-conceding candidate, or the party of the non-conceding candidate largely supporting the notion that the election result has no legitimacy. (In 2020, Trump and his diehards rejected the outcome of the election, but the Republican Party accepted it, so applying my criteria to 2020 would've yielded a YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Expecting to resolve this following Kamala’s concession speech today.
Related questions
Related questions
Will any candidate win a majority of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
5% chance
Will the losing candidate in the 2024 presidential election refuse to concede defeat?
43% chance
Will the Time 2024 POTY be the US president-elect and will they share the title with their running mate?
Will the winner of the 2024 U.S. presidential election NOT serve their full 4 year term?
36% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 US election remain president until 2029?
86% chance
will a presidential candidate or presid nominee be harmed during an assassination attempt by end of jan 20th 2025.
14% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 US presidential election die during their term
23% chance
Will the party that loses the 2024 USA election win in 2028?
52% chance
Will a third party candidate be blamed in the concession speech of the 2024 US presidential race?
15% chance
Will a candidate in the 2024 US presidential election attempt to overturn or invalidate its result?
7% chance