Will US Supreme Court grant a stay, overrule have official hearing on election law challenges before November election?
➕
Plus
5
Ṁ1599
Nov 6
30%
chance

The Supreme Court has wrapped up its session. However there are new rulings made by the states with respect to the November election.

For example, on July 5th, the Wisconsin Supreme Court ruled 4-3 to allow "unmanned" ballot drop-off boxes.
https://deepnewz.com/economics/wisconsin-supreme-court-overturns-ban-on-unmanned-ballot-drop-boxes-4-3-decision

Given the importance of reviewing such rulings before the election, will the SCOTUS take any emergency actions?

Specifically, the market will resolve YES if

  • there is a ruling, stay or any other move from the SCOTUS to overrule or delay implementation for a state or federal law or ruling (or administrative practice) that related directly to the November election

  • this can include how ballots are counted, who is eligible, anything like that

  • OR if the SCOTUS publicly confirms a new practice via vote or unanimous consent

    • for example if the SCOTUS voted to agree with Wisconsin Supreme Court in this case

    • if the SCOTUS has an emergency session and declares itself in session to make such a ruling

What will not count?

  • if SCOTUS does nothing

  • if they decline to hear any such cases

  • if they rule the state law should be followed (in general) or otherwise don't get involved

For example, in Bush vs Gore -- the SCOTUS made a ruling. Even though it did not over-rule Florida or un-certify the election.

Hopefully this makes sense.

Will SCOTUS over-rule a state (or federal) election law before the November election OR have an official vote on the matter? By default they will be out of session.

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