On Sunday May 19th:

"Iranian rescue teams have found the wreckage of a helicopter carrying President Ebrahim Raisi, according to state television and Reuters. The extensive search efforts, lasting over 5 hours, led to the discovery, but there is no word on casualties at this point. The search for survivors continues, with at least two survivors reported found. Western sources are estimating that President Raisi did not survive the crash, though official confirmation is pending."

https://deepnewz.com/culture/iranian-president-raisi-s-crashed-helicopter-found-rescue-2

Market will resolve "Yes" if confirmed by Iranian official source, or a preponderance of media. Market set for July 1st to leave lots of time for confirmation.