What volume with Polymarket do in November? Over $2B in October. Post election drop?
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Premium
25
Ṁ59k
resolved Nov 17
Resolved
N/A
Between $1B and $2B volume (smaller drop)
Resolved
N/A
Between $3.01B and $4B volume
Resolved
N/A
Over $4.01B volume
Resolved
N/A
Between $2.01B and $3B volume
Resolved
N/A
Under $1B volume (50% drop)

Polymarket did $2.28B in volume in October.

https://dune.com/rchen8/polymarket

We are doing over $100M per day volume for the past few days.

Election is on November 5th and driving much of those volume and interest, but there are other markets.

Resolution via Richard Chen's Dune dashboard. You know the drill.

I will be betting this market.

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I made this question, should work since it's based on just more or less. I'll add more liquidity later too as an act of good faith:

https://manifold.markets/HillaryClinton/what-volume-will-polymarket-do-in-n?play=true

Thanks. Resolved N/A because Richard's dashboards have been inconsistent.

My guess is it will probably be fine going forward but let's see if they switch again.

@Moscow25 remake the market with tighter bands maybe.

Basically the dashboard changed to 1/2 in early November (before we started this market). Then doubled again to what was before, yesterday.

Not ideal.

It's not letting me resolve N/A -- need @mods

I agree @HillaryClinton that Richard's dashboards changing back and forth is no good.

sold Ṁ272 NO

@Moscow25

Please resolve N/A. The way this is being measured is constantly being majorly adjusted.

@HillaryClinton This doubled all of a sudden, after numerous changes. This is not a reliable measure, people made their bets based on this being reliable, not the creator changing the previous numbers.

@HillaryClinton what do you make of alternative dashboards in Dune (like the one I shared in my earlier comment) giving numbers that are in the same ballpark as Chen’s? Do you have reason to believe that they’re both unreliable?

bought Ṁ250 YES

Idk what's going on with Chen's Dune dashboard, numbers have bumped to ~$1.9 B.
This is consistent with alternative Dune dashboard https://dune.com/fergmolina/polymarket-markets-data.

let the unburdening begin -- after $200M+ day during the election... after double counting but was fixed

but will they get to $1B this month?

yes I posted in the other market -- volume numbers have now been cut in half on Richard Chen's dashboard

October went from 2B to 1B

We will use this for resolution so expect November to be lower too. Not sure what changed or what bug was fixed...

bought Ṁ4,373 NO

@Moscow25 I'm confused. Volume numbers for October were cut in half, but November is fine?

sold Ṁ154 NO

@Moscow25 There's been some reporting that the volume numbers were inflated and now Richard Chen's dashboard has been changed so that all the numbers are smaller? I'm not sure how to interpret that in the context of this market.

bought Ṁ50 NO

We messed up market creation type. Wasn't supposed to be independent. Hard to un-do...

@Moscow25 might want to quickly N/A and then re-create it correctly, before there are many traders? Currently the markets are very illiquid, a small trade swings them a lot.

bought Ṁ40 YES

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