Will there be more than 2 million cases of dengue in the Americas by Epi Week 15 2024?
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11
Ṁ1403
resolved Jul 23
Resolved
YES

There's been an uptick in dengue cases this year and the season has started earlier than usual. There were around 1.7 million cases by EW 15 this year, up from ~973,000 in 2022 and ~500,000 in 2021.

This question will be resolved using total dengue cases as reported by PAHO (Pan American Health Organization): select Epidemiological Week 15, scroll down to "The Americas" (total), refer to column Total of Dengue Cases (b).

I think these data take a while to settle down as some countries take longer to report. I'll use my discretion as to when the data seem to have leveled out, but at the latest will resolve or void by July 31, 2024.

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Shouldn't this resolve "Yes" already? The most recent data is EW 11 from Mexico and there have already been nearly 3M cases reported

@ArmandodiMatteo thanks for the nudge! Sometimes numbers are revised, but usually UP not down. So I'll take a look and probably resolve this later today.

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