After what season will Lebron retire?
9
405Ṁ8382030
1.1%
2023-2024
5%
2024-2025
30%
2025-2026
1.1%
2026-2026
30%
2026-2027
14%
2027-2028
5%
2028-2029
5%
2029-2030
5%
Sometime after 2040
5%
Curious when they think he’ll hang it up. Retiring in the middle is a season counts as after the previous full season.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
When will Lebron James retire from NBA?
How many games will LeBron James end his NBA career having played?
LeBron retires before 2026 NBA season?
17% chance
What will Steph Curry’s last NBA season be? (He turns 36 on 3/14/24)
LeBron James - How many points will he score in the NBA before his retirement?
How many regular season points will LeBron James have at the end of his career?
Will Lebron James be a Los Angeles Lakers player on July 1st 2026?
37% chance
Will Bronny James retire alongside his father LeBron James when that time comes?
1% chance
Will LeBron James win another NBA championship as a player?
14% chance
Will LeBron James ever play with Bronny James and Bryce James together on a team by the end of the 2029-30 season?
28% chance