Which CEOs will leave their jobs?
26
1.2kṀ5326
2031
12%
Elon Musk - Tesla - 2025
40%
Linda Yaccarino - X/Twitter - 2025
7%
Mark Zuckerberg - META - 2025
19%
Warren Buffett - Berkshire Hathaway - 2025
Resolved
YES
@JamesGrugett - Manifold Markets - 2024
Resolved
YES
@JamesGrugett - Manifold Markets - 2025
Resolved
NO
Andrew R. Jassy - Amazon - 2024
Resolved
NO
Elon Musk - Tesla - 2024
Resolved
NO
Linda Yaccarino - X/Twitter - 2024
Resolved
NO
Mark Zuckerberg - META - 2024
Resolved
NO
Warren Buffett - Berkshire Hathaway - 2024

Use A-Z sort for this market!

Add CEOs to the list in the format "Name - Company - Year". If there's an existing entry and you want a later year, please copy it.

  • Each answer with that name resolves YES if they quit their jobs; NO if the end of the year is reached with them remaining CEO.

    • Example: Mark Zuckerberg is CEO January 1, 2025 will resolve "Mark Zuckerberg - META - 2024" NO.

    • Example: Mark Zuckerberg quits on December 31, 2023 but rejoins January 2, 2024. Then his 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 answers would all resolve YES from that small employment gap.

  • Answers must be currently CEO or announced to be CEO as of a certain soon date.

  • Options will be NA'd if they break the A-Z sort by not exactly matching the previous entry.

  • NA if the year is later than 3 years or later into the future, since we have a 100 answers limit.

  • I will ask admins to increase the active answer limit or add answer groupings if it becomes an issue, since I would like to see the CEO firing curve all in one place.

  • If the company is dissolved, resolves YES.

  • If the company merges or is acquired, resolves YES if the person is no longer CEO of a new company(even if it's a subsidiary). Otherwise, answer is edited to refer to the new company.

  • If a company changes its name, answer is edited to refer to the new name but stays unresolved.

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