Who will find the first prompt enabling GPT-4 to solve one freshly-generated Sudoku puzzle? (2023)
50
1.4K
resolved Dec 12
5%
Nobody will solve any fresh puzzle
1.2%
0.1%
@Gen (Genzy)
0.0%
0.1%
Trong
0.0%

Main market:

If you're making an attempt to the 2023 GPT-4 Sudoku Challenge, add your name to the list and buy some shares in yourself.

Resolves to the first person to post a "fixed prompt" in the comments as defined in ( /Mira/will-a-prompt-that-enables-gpt4-to ), and a puzzle that was generated after the comment using that prompt is solved and validated.

Puzzle can be from any reputable provider of Sudoku puzzles, and any difficulty as long as it is not trivial. (If humans are the audience, it is not trivial.)

Closes at the end of the year, but @Mira will make one last attempt after the main market closes if nobody finds a solution and it would count for this market.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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The resolving solve was the December 7 puzzle which took $8 and 2.4 hours. Transcript is here.

I also have a solve on October 1 which doesn't qualify but shows that the solving is repeatable. And 2 failures on some more December puzzles that I'm still looking at.

But it has solved a single puzzle, as this market requires. And @EmilyThomas was the one that submitted it.

I have left a comment on the main market with a transcript for the December 7 puzzle, which was solved using Emily Thomas' technique.

https://manifold.markets/Mira/will-a-prompt-that-enables-gpt4-to#o5AV2qSKPLxKvjlR4bmd

I will wait on resolving this market to give people a chance to review it for mistakes, and so that I can test more puzzles.

Multibinary variant of this question. It will resolve exactly the same, but the payouts are easier to understand.

bought Ṁ10 of Nobody will solve an...

I'm confused, why is this not getting arbitraged with the other market?

@Lorenzo I don't understand either, so i am heavily investing in it

@HanchiSun that might not be a great strategy

@Lorenzo I still do not see how this could not be an arbitrage opportunity....

@Lorenzo Ok, I get it now. If Emily Thomas find a partially successful prompt, then this market will resolve to her while the main market resolves to 50/50

answered
Trong

@cc6 That's @8

bought Ṁ80 of @8

@na_pewno whoops my bad, fixed it