
Will Waymo IPO before the end of...? [unlinked]
6
215Ṁ6442031
21%
EOY 2026
53%
EOY 2027
67%
EOY 2028
73%
EOY 2029
80%
EOY 2030
Note all options after the IPO date will resolve YES. So e.g. if Waymo IPOs in June 2028, then 2028, 2029, and 2030 all resolve YES. (This makes the options all unlinked w/ fixed payout and new answers won't affect existing ones).
Public IPO, listed on a stock exchange. Considers the IPO day, not the announcements in advance.
2025-06-02 clarification: Also includes splitting Waymo out of Google Stock somehow, or SPAC, etc.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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