Will Tesla obtain an AV Driverless Testing or Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2025
30
44
620
2026
35%
chance

https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/vehicle-industry-services/autonomous-vehicles/autonomous-vehicle-testing-permit-holders/


This question will resolve to YES if TESLA shows up as having had a driverless testing or deployment permit before or on December 31, 2025, according to the DMV website's list above, using the "as of MONTH DAY, 2025" date. Previously the DMV website has taken a few days to update, so this question will close at the end of Monday, January 5, 2026.

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