Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to San Francisco (or back) by the end of 2025?
14
1kṀ19412026
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I am currently approved for Waymo in SF. I do not use Waymo, however.
Update 2025-13-01 (PST): - Resolution Criteria includes Level 4 (L4) or Level 5 (L5) autonomous vehicles, specifically Waymo or Zoox. Tesla is currently not considered capable of self-driving. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Will it be possible for me to travel from San Francisco to Lighthaven in a Waymo in 2025?
14% chance
Will Waymo give public driverless rides on a freeway in the SF Bay Area by the end of 2025? [description]
70% chance
Will I be able to complete a 10+ hour trip via self-driving car by end of 2025?
20% chance
Will there be a self-driving taxi service in SF with a working desk seat and wifi by the end of 2025?
20% chance
Conditional on me travelling to the Bay Area in the next 18 months, will I take a ride in a driverless car?
79% chance
Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?
31% chance
Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2025?
46% chance
Will Waymo give public *driverless* rides to/from SFO airport pickup/dropoff by the end of 2025?
59% chance
Will California have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
79% chance
Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from SF to the Palo Alto area or back by the end of 2025?
47% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will it be possible for me to travel from San Francisco to Lighthaven in a Waymo in 2025?
14% chance
Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?
31% chance
Will Waymo give public driverless rides on a freeway in the SF Bay Area by the end of 2025? [description]
70% chance
Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2025?
46% chance
Will I be able to complete a 10+ hour trip via self-driving car by end of 2025?
20% chance
Will Waymo give public *driverless* rides to/from SFO airport pickup/dropoff by the end of 2025?
59% chance
Will there be a self-driving taxi service in SF with a working desk seat and wifi by the end of 2025?
20% chance
Will California have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
79% chance
Conditional on me travelling to the Bay Area in the next 18 months, will I take a ride in a driverless car?
79% chance
Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from SF to the Palo Alto area or back by the end of 2025?
47% chance