Will Hamas carry out at least one lethal attack in the USA in the next twelve months?
11
42
Ṁ454Ṁ1k
2025
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if there are at least one incident of terror in the USA claiming one or more lives, attributed to Hamas-affiliated terror cells by authorities or by Hamas credibly claiming credit, in the 12 months since the Tweet posted on Oct 8 2023. (The extra time before close gives some time for incident attribution to resolve.)
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It seems that Hamas’s activities have pretty much confined to Israel and Palestine for all its history. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hamas
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