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MANIFOLD
Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2027?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ25
2028
39%
chance

This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2027 exceeds 90%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.

YES if: TOPCon share >= 90% for 2027 NO if: TOPCon share < 90% for 2027

Resolution sources (priority order):

  1. CPIA annual report — technology mix table

  2. InfoLink Consulting annual solar cell technology market share report

  3. BloombergNEF / Wood Mackenzie solar technology outlook

Market context
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