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MANIFOLD
Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 70% for 2028?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ5
2029
52%
chance

This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2028 exceeds 70%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.

YES if: TOPCon share >= 70% for 2028 NO if: TOPCon share < 70% for 2028

Resolution sources (priority order):

  1. CPIA annual report — technology mix table

  2. InfoLink Consulting annual solar cell technology market share report

  3. BloombergNEF / Wood Mackenzie solar technology outlook

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