This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2028 exceeds 80%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.

YES if: TOPCon share >= 80% for 2028 NO if: TOPCon share < 80% for 2028

Resolution sources (priority order):

1. CPIA annual report — technology mix table

2. InfoLink Consulting annual solar cell technology market share report

3. BloombergNEF / Wood Mackenzie solar technology outlook