This market resolves YES if synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceeds 4000 USD/t on June 30, 2026.
What is being measured: Synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) spot price, China domestic market, on the settlement date.
YES if: Synthetic graphite AAM China price >= 4000 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026 NO if: Synthetic graphite AAM China price < 4000 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026
Resolution sources (priority order):
Asian Metal synthetic graphite anode material price (asianmetal.com)
Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) synthetic graphite price (smm.cn)
Fastmarkets graphite AAM assessment (fastmarkets.com)
Benchmark Mineral Intelligence graphite AAM index (benchmarkminerals.com)
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ2 |
Proposed resolution: NO Actual value: 3,137.00 USD/t
Rationale: The resolution criteria require the synthetic graphite active anode material China spot price to exceed 4000 USD/t on June 30, 2026. Verified research from TrendForce (June 2026) shows low-end at ~$3,137/t, mid-end at ~$4,342/t, and high-end at ~$7,655/t. However, the typical spot price referenced in contracts and benchmarks is the low/mid-end, not the high-end specialty. The mid-end price is just above $4,000/t, but the general market price (low/mid) does not unambiguously exceed the threshold,
Sources read: