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MANIFOLD
Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 4000 USD/t on March 31, 2027?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ15
2027
57%
chance

This market resolves YES if the value of measurable synthetic_graphite_aam_china_price exceeds 4000 USD per tonne on March 31, 2027.

See measurable definition: measurables/graphite/synthetic_graphite_aam_china_price.measurable.yaml

What is being measured: Synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) spot price, China domestic market, on the settlement date.

YES if: Synthetic graphite AAM China price >= 4000 USD per tonne on March 31, 2027 NO if: Synthetic graphite AAM China price < 4000 USD per tonne on March 31, 2027

Resolution sources (priority order):

  1. Asian Metal synthetic graphite anode material price (asianmetal.com)

  2. Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) synthetic graphite price (smm.cn)

  3. Fastmarkets graphite AAM assessment (fastmarkets.com)

  4. Benchmark Mineral Intelligence graphite AAM index (benchmarkminerals.com)

Market context
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