This market resolves YES if Rystad Energy's published estimate for Gulf energy infrastructure repair and restoration costs exceeds 28 billion USD on June 30, 2026.

What is being measured: The most recent Rystad Energy estimate (in USD billions) for cumulative Gulf energy infrastructure repair and restoration costs, as of June 30, 2026. Use the most recently published Rystad figure on or before the settlement date.

Data timing: Rystad publishes on an irregular basis as damage surveys are updated; no fixed reporting lag. Use whatever Rystad has published most recently as of settlement.

YES if:

• Most recent Rystad Energy estimate for Gulf energy infrastructure repair costs is > 28 billion USD as of June 30, 2026

NO if:

• Most recent Rystad estimate is ≤ 28 billion USD as of June 30, 2026

• If Rystad has not published any update since March 2026 ($25B baseline): use $25B; if $25B ≤ 28, resolves NO

Source hierarchy: Rystad press releases > Rystad research reports > OE Digital or Energy Intelligence citing Rystad > Reuters/Bloomberg citing Rystad attribution.

See measurable definition: measurables/energy/rystad_gulf_infra_repair_estimate.measurable.yaml

Primary sources:

1. Rystad Energy press releases (rystadenergy.com/news) — official estimate announcements

2. Rystad Energy Supply Chain Research reports (subscription; most authoritative)

Secondary sources: 3. OE Digital (oedigital.com) — republishes Rystad research findings 4. Energy Intelligence — Rystad-attributed cost estimates 5. Reuters / Bloomberg — media coverage of Rystad estimate updates