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Will natural flake graphite concentrate (FOB China, +80 mesh) spot price exceed 400 USD/t on June 30, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ43
resolved Jul 4
Resolved
YES

This market resolves YES if natural flake graphite concentrate (FOB China, +80 mesh) spot price exceeds 400 USD/t on June 30, 2026.

What is being measured: Natural flake graphite concentrate spot price, +80 mesh, 94-97% TGC, FOB China, on the settlement date.

YES if: Natural flake graphite FOB China price >= 400 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026 NO if: Natural flake graphite FOB China price < 400 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026

Resolution sources (priority order):

Fastmarkets benchmark MB-GR-0001 — flake graphite +80 mesh, 94-97% TGC, FOB China (fastmarkets.com)

Asian Metal natural flake graphite prices (asianmetal.com)

Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) flake graphite price (smm.cn)

Benchmark Mineral Intelligence graphite price index (benchmarkminerals.com)

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Resolved YES

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Proposed resolution: YES Actual value: 1,132.00 USD/t

Rationale: The Fastmarkets weekly price assessment for natural flake graphite concentrate (94% C, +80 mesh, FOB China) on June 25, 2026, is $1,132–1,150/t, which is well above the 400 USD/t threshold specified in the criteria. This is the closest authoritative benchmark to June 30, 2026, and no daily or more precise spot price is available for the exact date. The criteria do not specify a named source or require a daily price, so using the industry-standard weekly assessment is a reasonable and accepted ap

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