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Will natural flake graphite concentrate (FOB China, +80 mesh) spot price exceed 900 USD/t on June 30, 2026?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ182
resolved Jul 3
Resolved
YES

This market resolves YES if natural flake graphite concentrate (FOB China, +80 mesh) spot price exceeds 900 USD/t on June 30, 2026.

What is being measured: Natural flake graphite concentrate spot price, +80 mesh, 94-97% TGC, FOB China, on the settlement date.

YES if: Natural flake graphite FOB China price >= 900 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026 NO if: Natural flake graphite FOB China price < 900 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026

Resolution sources (priority order):

Fastmarkets benchmark MB-GR-0001 — flake graphite +80 mesh, 94-97% TGC, FOB China (fastmarkets.com)

Asian Metal natural flake graphite prices (asianmetal.com)

Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) flake graphite price (smm.cn)

Benchmark Mineral Intelligence graphite price index (benchmarkminerals.com)

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Resolved YES

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Proposed resolution: YES Actual value: 1,132.00 USD/t

Rationale: The most authoritative available source, Fastmarkets, assessed the spot price of natural flake graphite concentrate (94% C, +80 mesh, FOB China) at $1,132–1,150/t on June 25, 2026. This is the closest available weekly benchmark to June 30, 2026, and is well above the $900/t threshold specified in the criteria. There is no indication of a sudden price drop between June 25 and June 30. The criteria do not require an exact June 30 daily fix, and using the closest weekly industry-standard quote is a

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