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Will natural flake graphite concentrate (FOB China, +80 mesh) spot price exceed 900 USD/t on June 30, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ5
Jun 30
52%
chance

This market resolves YES if the value of measurable china_natural_flake_graphite_price exceeds 900 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026.

See measurable definition: measurables/graphite/china_natural_flake_graphite_price.measurable.yaml

What is being measured: Natural flake graphite concentrate spot price, +80 mesh, 94-97% TGC, FOB China, on the settlement date.

YES if: Natural flake graphite FOB China price >= 900 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026 NO if: Natural flake graphite FOB China price < 900 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026

Resolution sources (priority order):

  1. Fastmarkets benchmark MB-GR-0001 — flake graphite +80 mesh, 94-97% TGC, FOB China (fastmarkets.com)

  2. Asian Metal natural flake graphite prices (asianmetal.com)

  3. Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) flake graphite price (smm.cn)

  4. Benchmark Mineral Intelligence graphite price index (benchmarkminerals.com)

Market context
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