This market resolves YES if APR (ammonium perrhenate) Rotterdam price exceeds 8000 USD/kg on June 30, 2026.
What is being measured: Ammonium perrhenate (APR) catalytic-grade spot price, in-warehouse Rotterdam, USD/kg, on or nearest to June 30, 2026.
YES if: APR Rotterdam price >= 8000 USD/kg on June 30, 2026 NO if: APR Rotterdam price < 8000 USD/kg on June 30, 2026
Resolution sources (priority order):
Fastmarkets — rhenium ammonium perrhenate, in-whs dup Rotterdam (MB-RE-0001)
Metal Bulletin rhenium APR price assessment
USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — rhenium APR annual average price (annual reference)
1,000Proposed resolution: NO Actual value: 2,300.00 USD/kg
Rationale: The best available authoritative data (USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026) gives the 2025 annual average APR price as $2,300/kg, with no evidence of a dramatic price spike to $8,000/kg by June 30, 2026. No Rotterdam or global spot price near or above the threshold is reported in any consulted sources. Chinese auction prices in early 2026 were higher but still well below $8,000/kg and are not representative of Rotterdam. Therefore, the criteria for YES are not met.
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