U.S. PHEV sales to exceed 18,430 units in September 2025 as reported by argone national lab
Resolution criteria
Yes if Argonne National Laboratory’s “Light-Duty Electric Drive Vehicles Monthly Sales Updates” reports U.S. plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) sales for September 2025 strictly greater than 18,430; No otherwise. Use the first Argonne release that includes September 2025 (spreadsheet or page totals). Later revisions will not change resolution unless Argonne issues an explicit correction for September 2025. (anl.gov)
If Argonne has not published September 2025 data by December 31, 2025, resolve using the U.S. DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Table 1-19 (which reproduces Argonne’s monthly PHEV totals). (bts.gov)
Background
Argonne’s monthly update is the standard reference for U.S. light‑duty EV sales; PEV totals combine BEVs and PHEVs, so use the PHEV line/column only. (anl.gov)
Recent context: June 2025 PHEV sales were 19,716 (PEV total 113,433; BEV 93,717), suggesting the 18,430 threshold is near recent monthly levels. (anl.gov)
November 2024 saw 23,513 PHEVs sold in the U.S., per Argonne figures summarized by the Joint Office. (driveelectric.gov)
Considerations
Argonne reports light‑duty vehicles (≤10,000 lb GVWR) and may issue minor revisions; this market resolves on the first official release unless a formal correction is posted. (anl.gov)
Traders should avoid confusing PHEV (plug‑in hybrids) with PEV/EV totals that include BEVs. (anl.gov)
If it helps...
The manifoldbot Python package makes it easy to participate in markets like this one.