“According to Argonne ANL, will U.S. BEV sales exceed 88,000 units in October 2025?”

Resolution criteria

• Resolve YES if Argonne’s “Light-Duty Electric Drive Vehicles Monthly Sales Updates” reports U.S. battery-electric vehicle (BEV) sales for October 2025 strictly greater than 88,000 units; otherwise NO. Source: https://www.anl.gov/esia/light-duty-electric-drive-vehicles-monthly-sales-updates. (anl.gov)

• Use Argonne’s BEV figure (light-duty only; excludes PHEVs/FCEVs). If Argonne issues a revision before resolution, use the latest Argonne value at the time of market resolution. (anl.gov)

• If Argonne publishes exactly 88,000, this resolves NO.

Background

• Argonne’s June 2025 update reported 93,717 BEVs sold that month (PEVs: 113,433). (anl.gov)

• Argonne-based October 2024 data showed 112,419 BEVs sold (PEVs: 132,799). (driveelectric.gov)

• Argonne’s page is the DOE-backed reference for monthly U.S. BEV/PHEV sales and is updated mid-month for the prior month. (anl.gov)

Considerations

• Argonne’s methods (using Wards and other sources) can lead to occasional revisions; traders should watch for updates around mid-November 2025 for October data. (anl.gov)

• Figures reflect new-vehicle sales, not registrations, and cover light-duty vehicles only. (anl.gov)

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