When will Comac C929 commercial service begin
Basic
1
Ṁ40
2038
9%
2027 or before
14%
2028–2030
30%
2031–2033
33%
2034–2037
14%
2038 or later or never

Comac C919 began commercial service 28 May 2023 per https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comac_C919

If Comac C929 begins commercial service it should be reported by credible sources and appear in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comac_C929 or similar. Will resolve positively for a given time period if the program is renamed, and commercial service of plane under new name (noted in Wikipedia or similar) begins in that time period

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https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/comac-says-air-china-will-be-launch-customer-c929-widebody-jet-2024-11-12/ however

Liu did not disclose the number of aircraft that Beijing-based Air China would purchase or planned delivery dates.

https://www.construction-physics.com/p/will-the-china-cycle-come-for-airbus has nothing on

C929 beyond a mention. C919 delays may or may not be repeated, but here's the article on those:

Like the ARJ21 (and like most aircraft development projects), the C919 has taken far longer to develop than anticipated. COMAC initially planned to have the first C919 flight in 2014 and the first commercial deliveries in 2016, but the project was repeatedly delayed (in 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, and 2019). Official sources haven’t provided much specific information on the delays (merely mentioning manufacturing problems or technology problems), but other sources point to issues with the large-scale integration of subsystems from different suppliers. In 2019, an anonymous source working with COMAC stated, “there are so many problems with integration, they don’t know where to start.” Other sources state that during testing “key structural components failed stress tests, requiring beefed-up fixes,” increasing the aircraft’s weight. 

COMAC also seems to have difficulty with lightweight composite materials, and reduced their usage from 20% of the aircraft to closer to 10%. More recent delays in the program seem to have been caused by more stringent US export controls on aerospace components that were put in place in 2020. The C919s first flight didn’t take place until 2017, and commercial deliveries didn’t begin until the end of 2022. As of September, COMAC has delivered 9 C919s, and three airlines have it in service.

Wondering how long between first flight and commercial service? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comac#Aircraft_in_production_or_development

Here's the related question which I linked to but failed to embed previously:

Related market (first flight rather than commercial service) https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/before-which-year-will-the-comac-c9

In February Huarui Aero, the Chinese manufacturer selected by COMAC in 2021 to build the C929 fuselage, said the first "middle section of the fuselage" will be delivered in 2027, by Sept. 1.

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