Before which year will the COMAC C929 make its first flight?

Question

Resolves to all true answers

All answers resolve NO if COMAC announces the cancellation of the C929

The C929 will be China's first indigenously produced wide-body airliner. Its development has been delayed by a now-cancelled partnership with Russian manufacturer UAC.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 2050, followed by 2040 and 2036 are most likely. See the market for live updates (5 traders, as of May 31, 2025).