In how many months will I get a job?
44
1.2kṀ5380
2026
5.7 months
expected
2%
1 - 2
31%
3 - 4
38%
5 - 6
21%
7 - 8
5%
9 - 10
4%
Above 10

Background:

I have seven years of experience in the conservation field and separately, a background in art. I’ve just moved from Denver to San Francisco and am currently looking for a job. I have applied to six jobs so far, and have been rejected from four of them. I have been consistently employed the last seven years, transitioning from a trail crew member to crew lead. I am looking to continue to move up in my career or make a lateral shift, so the positions are likely to be competitive. San Francisco is also a bigger city, and likely to be more competitive for that reason as well. The average job search in the U.S. typically takes 3-6 months, though this can vary significantly based on industry, experience level, and local market conditions.

Jobs Applied:

-Management Analyst (rejected)

-Public Art Project Manager (rejected)

-Arts Commission Program Assistant (rejected)

-Community Outreach Manager (rejected)

-Co-Director at an arts non-profit (have not heard back)

-Land Manager and Trails Supervisor (rejected)

-Conservation Project Manager

-Stewardship Associate (rejected)

-Public Sector & Community Engagement Coordinator

-Summer Intern

-Conservation Manager

-Editorial Fellow

-Field Biologist

-Community Experience Rep.

Resolution Criteria:

This market will resolve to the number of months (rounded to the nearest whole month) from now until I secure and accept a job offer. The count begins from the date this market is created.

Considerations:

  • The specialized nature of conservation work may mean fewer overall openings, potentially extending the search timeline.

  • Current economic conditions and hiring freezes wishing the federal government may impact timeline expectations.

  • Update 2025-03-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Rounding Algorithm Update

    • Round up if the decimal part >= 0.5.

    • Round down if the decimal part <0.5.

This specifies how months will be rounded when computing the resolution, in addition to the original instruction to round to the nearest whole month.

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