Will Dubai have more skyscrapers than New York City in February 2030?
3
1kṀ41
2030
57%
chance

Resolution criteria

  • Resolve YES if, as of 23:59:59 UTC on February 28, 2030, Dubai has a strictly higher number of completed skyscrapers (buildings ≥150 m) than New York City, per the Council on Tall Buildings and Urban Habitat (CTBUH) “Skyscraper Center” city pages for Dubai and New York City (city proper, not metro). Links: Dubai and New York City. If these pages are inaccessible or lack explicit counts, use Wikipedia’s “List of cities with the most skyscrapers – By city proper,” which reproduces CTBUH counts; if the two sources conflict, CTBUH prevails. Ties (equal counts) resolve NO. Buildings count only if CTBUH lists them as “Completed” by the cutoff; later reclassifications visible at resolution time are honored. (skyscrapercenter.com, en.wikipedia.org, ctbuh.org)

Background

  • CTBUH defines “skyscraper” in this context as buildings at least 150 meters tall; “Completed” requires topped out, fully clad, and occupiable. (ctbuh.org)

  • As of 2025 data, CTBUH-based tallies place New York City ahead of Dubai (approx. 317 vs. 270 completed 150m+ buildings), indicating a current gap Dubai would need to close by February 2030. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

  • CTBUH counts are by city proper; nearby municipalities (e.g., Jersey City for NYC; Sharjah/Ajman for Dubai) are excluded from the city comparison. Use the “by city” list, not metropolitan totals. (en.wikipedia.org)

  • CTBUH database updates can lag real-world openings; this market resolves using what the source shows at the stated cutoff time. (skyscrapercenter.com)

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