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MANIFOLD
Who will win Peru's 2026 presidential election?
74
Ṁ2kṀ65k
Sep 30
97%
Keiko Fujimori
3%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the candidate officially declared the winner of Peru's 2026 presidential election. The election is scheduled for April 12, 2026, with a potential runoff on June 7, 2026, if no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote in the first round. The official results will be sourced from Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) and the National Jury of Elections (JNE).

Market context
Politics
Elections
Elections: World
Latin America
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I'm not sure what makes y'all so confident of Fujimori's chances. The JEE review ballots? Because without those, it's looking increasingly unlikely she makes it.

I think it's game over. Fujimori finally wins

We need to see the abroad votes

bought Ṁ250 YES

Less than 8k difference now

This difference is crazy

Less than 20k votos

sold Ṁ218 YES

Keiko will probably lose by less than 50k votes

Deja vu

opened a Ṁ20,000 NO at 7% order

Interested in buying 10k+ Aliaga Nos at market price.

sold Ṁ199 NO

Final difference will be around 5k votes out of 14 million.

Sanchez odds falling, what am I missing?

Counted: 89.8%

🟠Fujimori = 16.9%

🟢Sánchez = 12.0%

🔵López Aliaga = 11.9%

🟤Nieto = 11.1%

🟢Belmont = 10.2%

🟡Álvarez = 7.8%

🔴López-Chau = 7.4%

Counted: 75.1%

Fujimori: 16.9%

Aliaga: 12.8%

Nieto: 11.9%

Sanchez: 10.1%

Belmont: 10.0%

Alvarez: 8.2%

bought Ṁ4 YES

Counted: 72.9%

🟧Keiko — 16.9%

🟦Aliaga — 12.9%

🟥Nieto — 12%

🟩Belmont — 10%

🟩Sanchez — 9.8%

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