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MANIFOLD
Who will win Peru's 2026 presidential election?
33
Ṁ1.9kṀ22k
Sep 30
65%
Keiko Fujimori
27%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
2%
Rafael López Aliaga

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the candidate officially declared the winner of Peru's 2026 presidential election. The election is scheduled for April 12, 2026, with a potential runoff on June 7, 2026, if no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote in the first round. The official results will be sourced from Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) and the National Jury of Elections (JNE).

Market context
Politics
Elections
Latin America
Elections: World
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opened a Ṁ20,000 NO at 7% order

Interested in buying 10k+ Aliaga Nos at market price.

sold Ṁ199 NO

Final difference will be around 5k votes out of 14 million.

Sanchez odds falling, what am I missing?

Counted: 89.8%

🟠Fujimori = 16.9%

🟢Sánchez = 12.0%

🔵López Aliaga = 11.9%

🟤Nieto = 11.1%

🟢Belmont = 10.2%

🟡Álvarez = 7.8%

🔴López-Chau = 7.4%

Counted: 75.1%

Fujimori: 16.9%

Aliaga: 12.8%

Nieto: 11.9%

Sanchez: 10.1%

Belmont: 10.0%

Alvarez: 8.2%

bought Ṁ4 YES

Counted: 72.9%

🟧Keiko — 16.9%

🟦Aliaga — 12.9%

🟥Nieto — 12%

🟩Belmont — 10%

🟩Sanchez — 9.8%

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