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MANIFOLD
Who will be Johannesburg's next Mayor?
1
Ṁ1kṀ260
Dec 31
45%
Helen Zille
16%
Loyiso Masuku
14%
Herman Mashaba
11%
Kenny Kunene
14%
Other

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially elected as the Executive Mayor of the City of Johannesburg by the newly seated municipal council following the 2026 South African local government elections.

  • Electoral Process: Under South African municipal law, voters do not directly elect metropolitan mayors. Instead, they vote to elect ward and proportional representation (PR) councillors. Once the 270-member City of Johannesburg Metropolitan Council is seated, the councillors elect the Executive Mayor by majority vote during their inaugural sitting. This market resolves based on the outcome of that council vote.

  • Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined using official announcements from the City of Johannesburg (https://www.joburg.org.za/), the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://www.elections.org.za/), or consensus reporting from major South African news outlets (e.g., News24, SABC News, Daily Maverick).

  • Timeline: The local government elections are scheduled for November 4, 2026. The council sitting and subsequent mayoral vote are expected to occur shortly thereafter. If no mayoral election is completed by June 30, 2027, the market will resolve as N/A unless extended by the creator.

Market context
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